tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Pasco via Seattle: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:03 MSP → 07:58 SEA
    AS 387 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:52 SEA → 09:53 PSC
    AS 2195 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 01m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 50mMSP 06:03 to PSC 09:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.