tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Philadelphia via Orlando: arrives on time 89%

  1. 21:33 SEA → 06:16 MCO
    AS 394 · Alaska · 5h 43m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:40 MCO → 11:16 PHL +1 day
    AA 629 · American · 2h 36m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 43mSEA 21:33 to PHL 11:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.