tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Dulles via Orlando: arrives on time 94%

  1. 21:33 SEA → 06:16 MCO
    AS 394 · Alaska · 5h 43m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:55 MCO → 11:14 IAD +1 day
    UA 276 · United · 2h 19m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 69 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip10h 41mSEA 21:33 to IAD 11:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.