tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → St Louis via Orlando: arrives on time 92%

  1. 21:33 SEA → 06:16 MCO
    AS 394 · Alaska · 5h 43m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:50 MCO → 10:20 STL +1 day
    WN 4501 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip10h 47mSEA 21:33 to STL 10:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.