tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Raleigh/Durham via Orlando: arrives on time 90%

  1. 21:33 SEA → 06:16 MCO
    AS 394 · Alaska · 5h 43m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:20 MCO → 10:05 RDU +1 day
    WN 684 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip9h 32mSEA 21:33 to RDU 10:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.