tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Jose via San Diego: arrives on time 55%

  1. 19:20 MCO → 21:27 SAN
    AS 397 · Alaska · 5h 07m · 74% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:24 SAN → 23:54 SJC
    AS 1624 · Alaska · 1h 30m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 34mMCO 19:20 to SJC 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.