tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Dallas-Fort Worth via Seattle: arrives on time 57%

  1. 19:28 SBA → 22:00 SEA
    AS 400 · Alaska · 2h 32m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:03 SEA → 05:02 DFW +1 day
    AS 542 · Alaska · 3h 59m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 34mSBA 19:28 to DFW 05:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.