tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 13:00 ANC → 17:34 SEA
    AS 402 · Alaska · 3h 34m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 SEA → 21:00 LAS
    AS 478 · Alaska · 2h 39m · 75% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 00mANC 13:00 to LAS 21:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.