tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 25%

  1. 13:00 ANC → 17:34 SEA
    AS 402 · Alaska · 3h 34m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:36 SEA → 20:48 SFO
    AS 619 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 29% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (29%).
Total trip6h 48mANC 13:00 to SFO 20:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.