tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Honolulu via Seattle: arrives on time 42%

  1. 13:00 ANC → 17:34 SEA
    AS 402 · Alaska · 3h 34m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 SEA → 21:34 HNL
    AS 761 · Alaska · 6h 09m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 2 h behind Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip10h 34mANC 13:00 to HNL 21:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.