tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Houston via Seattle: arrives on time 71%

  1. 20:34 SMF → 22:39 SEA
    AS 403 · Alaska · 2h 05m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:57 SEA → 06:20 IAH +1 day
    AS 398 · Alaska · 4h 23m · 82% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 46mSMF 20:34 to IAH 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.