tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Idaho Falls via Seattle: arrives on time 67%

  1. 15:43 ORD → 18:22 SEA
    AS 407 · Alaska · 4h 39m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 SEA → 22:39 IDA
    AS 3423 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 49m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Idaho Falls is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 56mORD 15:43 to IDA 22:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.