tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Boise via Seattle: arrives on time 76%

  1. 15:43 ORD → 18:22 SEA
    AS 407 · Alaska · 4h 39m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 SEA → 22:24 BOI
    AS 2034 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 25m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 41mORD 15:43 to BOI 22:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.