tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Kalispell via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 15:43 ORD → 18:22 SEA
    AS 407 · Alaska · 4h 39m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 SEA → 23:59 FCA
    AS 2121 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 24m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kalispell is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip9h 16mORD 15:43 to FCA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.