tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Los Angeles via Seattle: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:03 IAD → 08:48 SEA
    AS 409 · Alaska · 5h 45m · 63% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:38 SEA → 15:25 LAX
    AS 502 · Alaska · 2h 47m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip12h 22mIAD 06:03 to LAX 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.