tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Burbank via Seattle: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:03 IAD → 08:48 SEA
    AS 409 · Alaska · 5h 45m · 63% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 SEA → 13:56 BUR
    AS 529 · Alaska · 2h 36m · 73% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 10h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip10h 53mIAD 06:03 to BUR 13:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.