tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Anchorage via San Francisco: arrives on time 83%

  1. 11:30 JFK → 14:50 SFO
    AS 41 · Alaska · 6h 20m · 64% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:47 SFO → 22:46 ANC
    UA 1594 · United · 4h 59m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 15h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip15h 16mJFK 11:30 to ANC 22:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.