tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Portland: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:20 ORD → 09:45 PDX
    AS 413 · Alaska · 4h 25m · 79% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 PDX → 12:33 SMF
    AS 2399 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 33m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 13mORD 07:20 to SMF 12:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.