tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Boise via Seattle: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:35 SAN → 20:35 SEA
    AS 417 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:31 SEA → 00:04 BOI +1 day
    AS 463 · Alaska · 1h 33m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 29mSAN 17:35 to BOI 00:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.