tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → New Orleans via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 17:35 SAN → 20:35 SEA
    AS 417 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:13 SEA → 05:49 MSY +1 day
    AS 490 · Alaska · 4h 36m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip10h 14mSAN 17:35 to MSY 05:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.