tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Baltimore via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 17:35 SAN → 20:35 SEA
    AS 417 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:36 SEA → 05:41 BWI +1 day
    AS 781 · Alaska · 5h 05m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 06mSAN 17:35 to BWI 05:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.