tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Spokane via Seattle: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:35 SAN → 20:35 SEA
    AS 417 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 SEA → 22:36 GEG
    AS 2071 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 06m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 01mSAN 17:35 to GEG 22:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.