tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Kalispell via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 17:35 SAN → 20:35 SEA
    AS 417 · Alaska · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 SEA → 23:59 FCA
    AS 2121 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 24m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kalispell is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 24mSAN 17:35 to FCA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.