tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Omaha via Seattle: arrives on time 62%

  1. 14:37 PHX → 17:43 SEA
    AS 425 · Alaska · 3h 06m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:47 SEA → 23:59 OMA
    AS 556 · Alaska · 3h 12m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 22mPHX 14:37 to OMA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.