tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:37 PHX → 17:43 SEA
    AS 425 · Alaska · 3h 06m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:46 SEA → 21:25 ANC
    AS 661 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 48mPHX 14:37 to ANC 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.