tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 57%

  1. 09:19 PDX → 10:21 SEA
    AS 427 · Alaska · 1h 02m · 48% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:31 SEA → 14:16 LAS
    AS 738 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 57mPDX 09:19 to LAS 14:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.