tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Pasco via Seattle: arrives on time 26%

  1. 09:19 PDX → 10:21 SEA
    AS 427 · Alaska · 1h 02m · 48% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 SEA → 12:19 PSC
    AS 2306 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 59m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip3h 00mPDX 09:19 to PSC 12:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.