tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 10%

  1. 17:30 PDX → 18:33 SEA
    AS 430 · Alaska · 1h 03m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:42 SEA → 21:54 SFO
    AS 628 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 12% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (12%).
Total trip4h 24mPDX 17:30 to SFO 21:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.