tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 77%

  1. 17:30 PDX → 18:33 SEA
    AS 430 · Alaska · 1h 03m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:41 SEA → 00:30 FAI +1 day
    DL 2186 · Delta · 3h 49m · 79% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 1 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 00mPDX 17:30 to FAI 00:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.