tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Missoula via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 17:30 PDX → 18:33 SEA
    AS 430 · Alaska · 1h 03m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 SEA → 22:55 MSO
    AS 2154 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 25m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 57m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 25mPDX 17:30 to MSO 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.