tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 78%

  1. 14:38 IAH → 17:21 SEA
    AS 439 · Alaska · 4h 43m · 72% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 SEA → 22:40 SJC
    AS 1310 · Alaska · 2h 15m · 80% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 02mIAH 14:38 to SJC 22:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.