tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Milwaukee via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 14:38 IAH → 17:21 SEA
    AS 439 · Alaska · 4h 43m · 72% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:09 SEA → 23:59 MKE
    AS 307 · Alaska · 3h 50m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 21mIAH 14:38 to MKE 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.