tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Honolulu via Seattle: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:38 IAH → 17:21 SEA
    AS 439 · Alaska · 4h 43m · 72% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 SEA → 21:34 HNL
    AS 761 · Alaska · 6h 09m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 5 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip11h 56mIAH 14:38 to HNL 21:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.