tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Houston via Seattle: arrives on time 60%

  1. 07:03 BUR → 09:44 SEA
    AS 444 · Alaska · 2h 41m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 SEA → 17:16 IAH
    AS 438 · Alaska · 4h 24m · 70% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Burbank). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 13mBUR 07:03 to IAH 17:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.