tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Los Angeles via Seattle: arrives on time 87%

  1. 07:10 MSY → 10:17 SEA
    AS 451 · Alaska · 5h 07m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:38 SEA → 15:25 LAX
    AS 502 · Alaska · 2h 47m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip10h 15mMSY 07:10 to LAX 15:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.