tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:02 IAH → 08:40 SEA
    AS 453 · Alaska · 4h 38m · 88% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:06 SEA → 13:55 SNA
    AS 1357 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 85% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 53mIAH 06:02 to SNA 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.