tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 06:02 IAH → 08:40 SEA
    AS 453 · Alaska · 4h 38m · 88% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:59 SEA → 13:01 PHX
    AS 593 · Alaska · 3h 02m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 59mIAH 06:02 to PHX 13:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.