tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Bozeman via Seattle: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:02 IAH → 08:40 SEA
    AS 453 · Alaska · 4h 38m · 88% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:45 SEA → 14:35 BZN
    DL 4104 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 84% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 38mIAH 06:02 to BZN 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.