tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:03 BZN → 06:57 SEA
    AS 461 · Alaska · 1h 54m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:35 SEA → 13:57 MSP
    AS 555 · Alaska · 3h 22m · 86% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 54mBZN 06:03 to MSP 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.