tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:03 BZN → 06:57 SEA
    AS 461 · Alaska · 1h 54m · 100% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:48 SEA → 10:29 LAS
    AS 612 · Alaska · 2h 41m · 88% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 26mBZN 06:03 to LAS 10:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.