tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 56%

  1. 17:36 EWR → 20:58 SEA
    AS 462 · Alaska · 6h 22m · 72% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 SEA → 23:30 PDX
    AS 1457 · Alaska · 1h 01m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip8h 54mEWR 17:36 to PDX 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.