tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:36 EWR → 20:58 SEA
    AS 462 · Alaska · 6h 22m · 72% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:57 SEA → 00:41 ANC +1 day
    AS 1560 · Alaska · 3h 44m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip11h 05mEWR 17:36 to ANC 00:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.