tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Raleigh/Durham via Atlanta: arrives on time 90%

  1. 23:31 SEA → 07:24 ATL
    AS 464 · Alaska · 4h 53m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:14 ATL → 12:44 RDU +1 day
    DL 1488 · Delta · 1h 30m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip10h 13mSEA 23:31 to RDU 12:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.