tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Austin via Atlanta: arrives on time 87%

  1. 23:31 SEA → 07:24 ATL
    AS 464 · Alaska · 4h 53m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:05 ATL → 12:25 AUS +1 day
    DL 2011 · Delta · 2h 21m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip10h 55mSEA 23:31 to AUS 12:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.