tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Dallas-Fort Worth via Seattle: arrives on time 55%

  1. 13:59 SAN → 16:58 SEA
    AS 465 · Alaska · 2h 59m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:56 SEA → 23:59 DFW
    AS 424 · Alaska · 4h 03m · 80% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 00mSAN 13:59 to DFW 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.