tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Tucson via Seattle: arrives on time 45%

  1. 13:59 SAN → 16:58 SEA
    AS 465 · Alaska · 2h 59m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 SEA → 21:05 TUS
    AS 3225 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 3h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 06mSAN 13:59 to TUS 21:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.