tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Portland via San Diego: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:03 SEA → 13:01 SAN
    AS 467 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 63% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:03 SAN → 16:36 PDX
    AS 1402 · Alaska · 2h 33m · 86% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 33mSEA 10:03 to PDX 16:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.