tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → San Francisco via San Diego: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:03 SEA → 13:01 SAN
    AS 467 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 63% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:09 SAN → 17:49 SFO
    UA 2117 · United · 1h 40m · 76% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 46mSEA 10:03 to SFO 17:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.