tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 55%

  1. 18:03 BNA → 21:07 SEA
    AS 469 · Alaska · 5h 04m · 54% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 SEA → 23:30 PDX
    AS 1457 · Alaska · 1h 01m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 27mBNA 18:03 to PDX 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.