tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 84%

  1. 11:21 SAN → 14:25 SEA
    AS 475 · Alaska · 3h 04m · 60% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:00 SEA → 19:01 SMF
    DL 4043 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 89% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 40mSAN 11:21 to SMF 19:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.